"ABPW10 PGTW 230200\r\nMSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//\r\nSUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH \r\nPACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/230200Z-230600ZSEP2025//\r\nREF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/221951ZSEP2025//\r\nREF/B/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/221952ZSEP2025//\r\nREF/C/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/230153ZSEP2025//\r\nNARR/REFS A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS. REF C IS A TROPICAL \r\nCYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.//\r\nRMKS/\r\n B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:\r\n (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 92W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR \r\n11.1N 138.2E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10.2N 138.2E, APPROXIMATELY 40.3 NM \r\nNORTH OF YAP. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY (MSI) SHOWS \r\nPERSISTENT DEEP CONVECTION CONSOLIDATING OVER A DEVELOPING LOW LEVEL \r\nCIRCULATION CENTER. A 230035Z ASCAT VERIFIES A CLOSED CIRCULATION HAS \r\nDEVELOPED, WITH 15-20 KNOT WINDS WRAPPING FROM THE NORTH OF THE \r\nCIRCULATION CENTER. THE ENVIRONMENT IS FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH \r\nWARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (29-30 C) AND MODERATE VERTICAL WIND \r\nSHEAR (15-20 KTS) AND GOOD EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW ALOFT. GLOBAL \r\nDETERMINISTIC MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT 92W WILL INTENSIFY \r\nOVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. GLOBAL ENSEMBLE MODELS ARE IN AGREEMENT AS \r\nWELL THAT 92W WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE WESTWARD AND INTENSIFY OVER THE \r\nNEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 13 TO \r\n18 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. \r\nTHE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE \r\nWITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO HIGH. SEE REF C (WTPN21 PGTW \r\n230200) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.\r\n (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.\r\n C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED AREA IN PARA. 1.B.(1) TO \r\nHIGH.//"