"ABPW10 PGTW 230600\r\nMSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//\r\nSUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH \r\nPACIFIC OCEANS/230600Z-240600ZSEP2025//\r\nREF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/230151ZSEP2025//\r\nREF/B/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/230152ZSEP2025//\r\nREF/C/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/230153ZSEP2025//\r\nNARR/REFS A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS. REF C IS A TROPICAL \r\nCYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.//\r\nRMKS/\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:\r\n      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 92W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR \r\n10.2N 138.2E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10.1N 136.6E, APPROXIMATELY 94 NM \r\nWEST-NORTHWEST OF YAP. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY (MSI) \r\nSHOWS PERSISTENT DEEP CONVECTION CONSOLIDATING OVER A DEVELOPING LOW \r\nLEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. A 230035Z ASCAT VERIFIES A CLOSED \r\nCIRCULATION HAS DEVELOPED, WITH 15-20 KNOT WINDS WRAPPING FROM THE \r\nNORTH OF THE CIRCULATION CENTER. THE ENVIRONMENT IS FAVORABLE FOR \r\nDEVELOPMENT WITH WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (29-30 C) AND MODERATE \r\nVERTICAL WIND SHEAR (15-20 KTS) AND GOOD EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW ALOFT. \r\nGLOBAL DETERMINISTIC MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT 92W WILL \r\nINTENSIFY OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. GLOBAL ENSEMBLE MODELS ARE IN \r\nAGREEMENT AS WELL THAT 92W WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE WESTWARD AND \r\nINTENSIFY OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE \r\nESTIMATED AT 18 TO 23 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED \r\nTO BE NEAR 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT \r\nTROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS HIGH.\r\n      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//"