"ABPW10 PGTW 010600\r\nMSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//\r\nSUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH \r\nPACIFIC OCEANS/010600Z-020600ZOCT2025//\r\nREF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PERAL HARBOR HI/010121ZOCT2025//\r\nAMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.//\r\nRMKS/\r\n B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:\r\n (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 93W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR \r\n13.9N 133.1E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 14.0N 132.0E, APPROXIMATELY 482 NM \r\nEAST OF LEGAZPI. MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY (MSI) REVEALS AN \r\nORGANIZED AND CONSOLIDATING LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH \r\nPERSISTENT CONVECTION. A 010030Z ASCAT-B PASS SHOWS A DEFINED \r\nCIRCULATION WITH STRONGER WINDS (20-25 KTS) WRAPPING AROUND THE \r\nNORTHERN AND WESTERN PERIPHERIES OF INVEST 93W. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS \r\nREVEALS FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH LOW VERTICAL WIND \r\nSHEAR (15 KNOTS OR LESS), DIFFLUENT OUTFLOW ALOFT, AND WARM SEA \r\nSURFACE TEMPERATURE (29-30 C). GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN FAIR AGREEMENT ON \r\nSTEADY DEVELOPMENT FOR INVEST 93W AS IT TRACKS TOWARD NORTHERN LUZON \r\nOVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED \r\nAT 18 TO 23 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR \r\n1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL \r\nCYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS HIGH.\r\n (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.\r\n C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//"