"ABIO10 PGTW 141200\r\nMSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//\r\nSUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN \r\nREISSUED/141200Z-141800ZMAY2024//\r\nRMKS/\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:\r\n      (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 92S) HAS PERSISTED NEAR 9.7S \r\n53.1E, APPROXIMATELY 588 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF COMOROS. ANIMATED \r\nMULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY (MSI) DEPICTS INVEST 92S AS AN EXPOSED \r\nBROAD LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION (LLC) WITH FLARING CONVECTION TO THE SOUTH \r\nAND SOUTHEAST. A 140954Z 89GHZ AMSR2 MICROWAVE IMAGE DEPICTS AN \r\nELONGATED CIRCULATION WITH DEEP CONVECTIVE BANDING ASSOCIATED WITH \r\nCONVERGENT SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW (25-30 KTS) REFERENCED FROM A 140602Z \r\nASCAT-C IMAGE. THE ENVIRONMENT IS FAVORABLE WITH MINIMAL VERTICAL WIND \r\nSHEAR, 28-29C SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES, AND STRONG POLEWARD OUTFLOW. \r\nDETERMINISTIC MODEL GUIDANCE DEPICTS 92S SLOWLY DEVELOPING AS IT DRIFTS \r\nWEST-NORTHWESTWARD AND CONTINUES TO INTENSIFY OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. \r\nMAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. \r\nMINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1004 MB. THE \r\nPOTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN \r\nTHE NEXT 24 HOURS IS LOW. \r\n      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS."