"ABIO10 PGTW 151800\r\nMSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//\r\nSUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/151800Z-\r\n161800ZMAY2024//\r\nRMKS/\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:\r\n      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 92S) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR \r\n9.7S 53.1E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 8.8S 52.3E, APPROXIMATELY 574 NM EAST-\r\nNORTHEAST OF COMOROS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY (EIR) \r\nAND A 151402Z SSMIS 91GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE DEPICTS A SLOWLY CONSOLIDATING \r\nLOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) PARTIALLY OBSCURED BY RAGGED \r\nCONVECTIVE BANDING TO THE SOUTHEAST WITH AN ASYMMETRIC CIRCULATION. \r\nENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS REVEALS FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR FURTHER \r\nDEVELOPMENT WITH LOW TO  MODERATE (15-20KT) VWS, GOOD UPPER-LEVEL \r\nOUTFLOW POLEWARD, AND WARM (29-30C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (SST). \r\nDETERMINISTIC AND ENSEMBLE MODELS ARE IN AGREEMENT THAT THE CIRCULATION \r\nWILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED \r\nSURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 23 TO 28 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL \r\nPRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE \r\nDEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS \r\nIS UPGRADED TO MEDIUM.\r\n      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS."