"ABIO10 PGTW 161000\r\nMSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//\r\nSUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN \r\nREISSUED/161000Z-161800ZMAY2024//\r\nREF/A/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/160921Z MAY 24//\r\nAMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTXS21 PGTW 160930)//\r\nRMKS/\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:\r\n      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 92S) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR \r\n8.8S 52.3E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 8.4S 53.0E, APPROXIMATELY 600 NM EAST-\r\nNORTHEAST OF COMOROS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY (EIR) \r\nAND A 160607Z ASCAT PASS DEPICTS A ELONGATED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER \r\n(LLCC) WITH ASSOCIATED DEEP CONVECTIVE BANDING OVER THE SOUTHERN PORTION \r\nOF THE SYSTEM. THE DATA FROM THE PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED ASCAT PASS ALSO \r\nINDICATES ELEVATED WIND SPEEDS OVER 30 KNOTS WITHIN THE SOUTHERN \r\nSEMICIRCLE OF THE CIRCULATION. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS REVEALS FAVORABLE \r\nCONDITIONS FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT WITH LOW TO MODERATE (10-15KT) VWS, \r\nGOOD UPPER-LEVEL DUAL-CHANNEL OUTFLOW, AND WARM (28-29C) SEA SURFACE \r\nTEMPERATURES (SST). DETERMINISTIC AND ENSEMBLE MODELS ARE IN AGREEMENT \r\nWITH 92S TRACKING WESTWARD AND CONTINUING TO DEVELOP OVER THE NEXT 24 \r\nHOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 27 TO 32 KNOTS. \r\nMINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1003 MB. THE POTENTIAL \r\nFOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 \r\nHOURS IS UPGRADED TO HIGH. SEE REF A (WTXS21 PGTW 160930) FOR FURTHER \r\nDETAILS.\r\n      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS."