"ABIO10 PGTW 010700\r\nMSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//\r\nSUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN \r\nREISSUED/010700ZOCT2024-011800ZOCT2024//\r\nRMKS/\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:\r\n      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 91S) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR \r\n9.0S 78.5E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 9.8S 76.6E, APPROXIMATELY 290 NM EAST-\r\nSOUTHEAST OF DIEGO GARCIA. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY \r\nDEPICTS AN AREA OF FLARING CONVECTION, WITH AN OBSCURED LOW LEVEL \r\nCIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC), AND PERSISTENT DEEP CONVECTION SPIRALING \r\nAROUND THE CIRCULATION. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS REVEALS THAT 91S IS IN \r\nA MARGINALLY FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT WITH WARM \r\n(27-28C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES, GOOD RADIAL OUTFLOW ALOFT, OFFSET \r\nBY HIGH (25-30 KTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN GOOD \r\nAGREEMENT THAT 91S WILL GENERALLY TRACK WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD OVER THE \r\nNEXT 48 HOURS AS THE SYSTEM STEERS SOUTH OF DIEGO GARCIA. MAXIMUM \r\nSUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 23 TO 28 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA \r\nLEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE \r\nDEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS \r\nIS UPGRADED TO MEDIUM.\r\n      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE."