"ABIO10 PGTW 011800\r\nMSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//\r\nSUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/011800Z-\r\n021800ZOCT2024//\r\nRMKS/\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:\r\n      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 91S) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR \r\n9.0S 78.5E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10.6S 76.4E, APPROXIMATELY 290 NM EAST-\r\nSOUTHEAST OF DIEGO GARCIA. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY \r\nDEPICTS AN AREA OF FLARING CONVECTION, WITH AN OBSCURED LOW LEVEL \r\nCIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC), AND PERSISTENT DEEP CONVECTION SPIRALING \r\nAROUND THE CIRCULATION. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS REVEALS THAT 91S IS IN A \r\nMARGINALLY FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT WITH WARM (27-\r\n28C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES, GOOD RADIAL OUTFLOW ALOFT, OFFSET BY HIGH \r\n(25-30 KTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT \r\n91S WILL GENERALLY TRACK WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS THE \r\nSYSTEM STEERS SOUTH OF DIEGO GARCIA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE \r\nESTIMATED AT 23 TO 28 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO \r\nBE NEAR 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT \r\nTROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS MEDIUM.\r\n      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE."