"ABIO10 PGTW 181800\r\nMSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//\r\nSUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/181800Z-\r\n191800ZMAY2024//\r\nREF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/181351ZMAY2024//\r\nAMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.//\r\nRMKS/\r\n B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:\r\n (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 93S) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR \r\n1.9S 72.9E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 2.6S 74.0E, APPROXIMATELY 303 NM NORTH-\r\nNORTHEAST OF DIEGO GARCIA. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED (EIR) SATELLITE \r\nIMAGERY AND AN 181323Z SSMIS 91GHZ IMAGE DEPICT A BROAD LOW LEVEL CLOSED \r\nCIRCULATION (LLC) WITH FLARING DEEP CONVECTION SHEARED OVER THE \r\nSOUTHWESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE LLC. AN 181622Z ASCAT-B PARTIAL IMAGE \r\nINDICATES 25 TO 30 KNOT WESTERLIES ALONG THE NORTHWESTERN FLANK. \r\nENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS REVEALS AN UNFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT \r\nWITH HIGH (40-50KTS) VWS AND EASTERLY DIFFLUENT FLOW, OFFSET BY WARM SEA \r\nSURFACE TEMPERATURES (29-30C). GLOBAL DETERMINISTIC MODELS ARE IN GOOD \r\nAGREEMENT THAT INVEST 93S WILL CONTINUE TO STRENGTHEN OVER THE NEXT 24-48 \r\nHOURS AS IT TRACKS EASTWARD. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE \r\nESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO \r\nBE NEAR 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT \r\nTROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO MEDIUM.\r\n (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS."