"ABIO10 PGTW 191500\r\nMSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//\r\nSUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN \r\nREISSUED/191500Z-191800ZMAY2024//\r\nREF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/191351ZMAY2024//\r\nREF/B/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/191352ZMAY2024//\r\nNARR/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. REF B IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE \r\nFORMATION ALERT.//\r\nRMKS/\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:\r\n      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 93S) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR \r\n2.6S 74.0E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 2.4S 74.5E, APPROXIMATELY 324 NM NORTH-\r\nNORTHEAST OF DIEGO GARCIA. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY \r\nAND A 191108Z SSMIS 91GHZ SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS AN APPARENT LOW \r\nLEVEL CIRCULATION IN A SHEARED ENVIRONMENT, WITH CURVED DEEP \r\nCONVECTIVE BANDING PRIMARILY LOCATED TO THE WEST OF THE CIRCULATION. \r\nUPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS REVEALS A MARGINAL ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT, \r\nWITH GOOD POLEWARD OUTFLOW ALOFT, WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (30C), \r\nAND VERY HIGH VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (35-40KT). GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN GOOD \r\nAGREEMENT THAT 93S WILL GENERALLY TRACK EAST-SOUTHEAST OVER THE NEXT \r\n24-36 HOURS.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 28 TO \r\n33 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1005 MB. \r\nTHE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE \r\nWITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO HIGH. SEE REF B (WTXS21 PGTW \r\n151400) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.\r\n      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS."