"ABIO10 PGTW 231800\r\nMSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//\r\nSUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/231800Z-\r\n241800ZMAR2025//\r\nRMKS/\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:\r\n      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 92S) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR \r\n13.9S 114.4E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 14.4S 113.8E, APPROXIMATELY 465 NM \r\nNORTH OF LEARMONTH. ANIMATED ENHANCED SATELLITE IMAGERY (EIR) DEPICTS A \r\nLOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) UNDERNEATH WEAKLY SHEARED PERSISTENT \r\nCONVECTION. PARTIAL 231305Z METOP-B AND 231558Z METOP-C PASSES REVEAL A \r\nCONSOLIDATING CIRCULATION WITH STRONGER WINDS NOW WRAPPING AROUND THE \r\nWESTERN AND NORTHERN PERIPHERIES. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS REVEALS A \r\nFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH LOW TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND \r\nSHEAR (VWS) OF 15-20 KNOTS, MODERATE POLEWARD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW, AND \r\nWARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (SST) OF 29-30C. DETERMINISTIC AND \r\nENSEMBLE MODELS INDICATE CONTINUED STEADY CONSOLIDATION AND \r\nINTENSIFICATION AS THE SYSTEM TRACKS TOWARDS THE SOUTHWEST OVER THE NEXT \r\n24 HOURS, WITH THE GFS, GEFS, AND EC-EPS PREDICTING THAT 92S WILL REACH \r\nTHE WARNING THRESHOLD WITHIN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED \r\nSURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 23 TO 28 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL \r\nPRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1002 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE \r\nDEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS \r\nREMAINS MEDIUM.\r\n      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//"