"ABPW10 PGTW 280330\r\nMSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//\r\nSUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH \r\nPACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/280330Z-280600ZNOV2025//\r\nREF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/280151ZNOV2025//\r\nAMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.//\r\nRMKS/\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:\r\n      (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 04B) HAS PERSISTED NEAR 3.7N \r\n101.5E, APPROXIMATELY 202 NM NORTHWEST OF SINGAPORE. ANIMATED ENHANCED \r\nMULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE (MSI) IMAGERY DEPICTS 04B SLOWLY \r\nRECONSOLIDATING AS ITS CROSSING THE MALAY PENINSULA TOWARDS THE SOUTH \r\nCHINA SEA BUT STILL APPEARS VERY BROAD AND DISORGANIZED, OBSCURED BY \r\nFLARING CONVECTION THAT IS BEING SHEARED TO THE WEST IN THE UPPER \r\nLEVELS. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS FOR THE WESTERN SIDE OF THE SOUTH CHINA \r\nSEA REVEALS A MARGINALLY FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT WITH WARM (27-28 C) SEA \r\nSURFACE TEMPERATURES, LOW TO MODERATE (15-20 KTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, \r\nAND DUEL CHANNEL OUTFLOW IN THE UPPER LEVELS GETTING SHIFTED TO THE \r\nWEST BY WIND SHEAR. DETERMINISTIC MODELS HAVE IMPROVED OVER THE LAST \r\n24 HOURS WITH ALL MODELS PICKING UP ON THE CIRCULATION WITHIN 24 HOURS \r\nBUT THEY SHOW THE SYSTEM WILL QUICKLY DETERIORATE WITHIN 48 HOURS AS \r\nIT ATTEMPTS TO TRANSIT EASTWARD. ENSEMBLES TELL A SIMILAR STORY WITH \r\nGFS REVEALING VERY MINIMAL POTENTIAL WITH THIS SYSTEM AS IT TRANSITS \r\nOVER LAND EVENTUALLY REACHING THE SOUTH CHINA SEA, AND ECMWF ENSEMBLE \r\nLIKING THE SYSTEM MORE BUT ALL MEMBERS DISAPPEAR AFTER 48 HOURS. \r\nMAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 23 TO 27 KNOTS. \r\nMINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1005 MB. THE \r\nPOTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN \r\nTHE NEXT 24 HOURS IS LOW.\r\n      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ADDED LOW AREA IN PARA. 1.B.(1).//"