"ABIO10 PGTW 011800\r\nMSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//\r\nSUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/011800Z-\r\n021800ZOCT2025//\r\nREF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/011351ZOCT2025//\r\nAMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.//\r\nRMKS/\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:\r\n      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 90A) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR \r\n22.0N 68.6E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 21.8N 68.0E, APPROXIMATELY 195 NM SOUTH-\r\nSOUTHEAST OF KARACHI, PAKISTAN. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED IMAGERY (EIR) \r\nDEPICTS A PARTIALLY EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER SLOWLY \r\nCONSOLIDATING AND BECOMING EMBEDDED WITHIN FLARING CONVECTION. \r\nENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS SHOWS FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH \r\nLOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (10-15 KNOTS), GOOD EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW ALOFT, \r\nAND WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (27-28 C).  MODELS ARE IN GOOD GENERAL \r\nAGREEMENT ON STEADY DEVELOPMENT OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS.  THE SYSTEM IS \r\nEXPECTED TO HAVE VERY SLOW TRACK SPEEDS AND POSSIBLE ERRATIC MOTION OVER \r\nTHE NEXT 24-48 HOURS DUE TO THE PLACEMENT BETWEEN RIDGING TO BOTH THE \r\nEAST AND WEST.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 23 TO \r\n28 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 996 MB. THE \r\nPOTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN \r\nTHE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS MEDIUM.\r\n      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//"