"ABIO10 PGTW 021500\r\nMSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//\r\nSUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN \r\nREISSUED/021500Z-021800ZOCT2025//\r\nREF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/021351ZOCT2025//\r\nREF/B/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/020551ZOCT2025//\r\nNARR/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FINAL WARNING AND REF B IS A TROPICAL \r\nCYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.//\r\nRMKS/\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:\r\n      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 90A) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR \r\n20.7N 68.2E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 21.7N 67.9E, APPROXIMATELY 310 NM \r\nWEST-NORTHWEST OF MUMBAI, INDIA. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE \r\nIMAGERY AS WELL AS A 10021200Z GMI 89GHZ MICROWAVE PASS DEPICT A \r\nPARTIALLY EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER SLOWLY CONSOLIDATING \r\nAND BECOMING EMBEDDED WITHIN FLARING CONVECTION OVER THE CENTER AND \r\nFORMATIVE BANDING ALONG WESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE CIRCULATION. \r\nENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS INDICATES FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR DEVELOPMENT \r\nWITH LOW VWS (10-15 KNOTS), GOOD EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW ALOFT, AND WARM \r\nSEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (28-30 C).  GLOBAL DETERMINISTIC MODELS ARE \r\nIN GOOD GENERAL AGREEMENT ON DEVELOPMENT OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS WITH \r\nMOST MODELS KEEPING THE SYSTEM AT OR SLIGHTLY ABOVE WARNING CRITERIA.  \r\nTHE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO HAVE A SLUGGISH WESTWARD TRACK OVER THE NEXT \r\n48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 28 TO 33 \r\nKNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 995 MB. THE \r\nPOTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN \r\nTHE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS HIGH.\r\n      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPDATED PARA 1.A.(1) WITH 01B FINAL \r\nWARNING INFORMATION.//"