{"ObservationDate":"2025-09-30T06:00:00","Latitude":23.5,"Longitude":70.0,"Windspeed":23.0,"Pressure":1000.0,"Identifier":"INVEST 90A","PotentialStatus":"LOW","OriginalBulletin":["ABIO10 PGTW 300600","MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//","SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN ","OCEAN REISSUED/300600ZSEP2025-010600ZOCT2025//","RMKS/"," B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:"," (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 90A) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR ","20.2N 70.7E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 23.5N 70.0E, APPROXIMATELY 183 NM ","EAST-SOUTHEAST OF KARACHI. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED (EIR) SATELLITE ","IMAGERY DEPICTS AN EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH ","PERSISTENT CONVECTION DISPLACED TO THE WEST OF THE LLCC. ENVIRONMENTAL ","ANALYSIS REVEALS A MARGINAL ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH LOW TO ","MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (VWS) OF 15-20 KNOTS, GOOD POLEWARD ","UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW, AND WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (SST) OF 28-29 ","C. HOWEVER, THE SYSTEM IS OVERLAND AND WEAK DUE TO FRICTIONAL EFFECTS. ","DETERMINISTIC AND ENSEMBLE MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH ECMWF ","BEING THE SOLE OUTLIER, PORTRAYING 90A TO MAINTAIN ITS POSITION ","OVER LAND AS IT TRACKS NORTHWEST TOWARD KARACHI, PAKISTAN OVER THE ","NEXT 24-48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 23 ","TO 28 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1000 ","MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL ","CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS LOW."," (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 91B) HAS PERSISTED NEAR 15.6N ","89.6E, APPROXIMATELY 298 NM NORTHWEST OF PORT BLAIR. ANIMATED ","MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY (MSI) DEPICTS FLARING CONVECTION WITH ","AN ELONGATED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. THE MSI ALSO REVEALS BROAD ","CONVECTIVE BANDING WITHIN THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE SYSTEM WITH ","STRONG EASTERLIES ALOFT. A 090930Z ASCAT PASS SHOWS STRONG WINDS (20-","25 KTS) TO THE WEST OF THE BROAD CONVECTION CENTER. ANALYSIS REVEALS ","FAVORABLE CONDITIONS WITH GOOD EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW, LOW (10-15 KTS) ","VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, AND WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (28-29 C). ","GLOBAL MODELS INDICATE STEADY DEVELOPMENT WITH A NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD ","TRACK OVER THE NEXT 24-48 HOURS. GFS IS THE MOST AGGRESSIVE WITH ","DEVELOPMENT WHILE ECMWF SHOWS THE SYSTEM STRUGGLING TO CONSOLIDATE. ","MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. ","MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1001 MB. THE ","POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN ","THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS LOW."," (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS."," C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE."," B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE."," C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//","3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ADDED LOW AREA IN PARA. 1.B. (2).//"]}