{"ObservationDate":"2026-01-09T10:00:00","Latitude":8.0,"Longitude":82.8,"Windspeed":32.0,"Pressure":1007.0,"Identifier":"INVEST 90B","PotentialStatus":"LOW","OriginalBulletin":["ABIO10 PGTW 091000","MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//","SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ","REISSUED/091000Z-091800ZJAN2026//","REF/A/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/090951ZJAN2026//","AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.//","RMKS/"," B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:"," (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 90B) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR ","6.4N 84.5E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 8.0N 82.8E, APPROXIMATELY 186 NM EAST-","NORTHEAST OF COLOMBO, SRI LANKA. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE ","IMAGERY DEPICT A PARTIALLY EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) ","WITH PERSISTENT CONVECTION JUST NORTHWEST OF THE SYSTEM. A 090712Z ","89GHZ GMI PASS FURTHER EMPHASIZES THE LIMITED CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY ","BEING DISPLACED TO THE NORTHWEST OF THE CIRCULATION CENTER. THE ","ENVIRONMENT IS MARGINALLY FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT MOVING FORWARD, ","WITH A STRONG POLEWARD OUTFLOW CHANNEL AND WARM (28-29 C) SEA SURFACE ","TEMPERATURES. THE MAIN HINDRANCE BEING THE MODERATE TO HIGH (20-25 ","KTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR FROM THE EAST THAT WILL CONTINUE TO LIMIT ","INTENSIFICATION. DETERMINISTIC AND ENSEMBLE MODELS AGREE ON A ","NORTHWESTWARD TRACK OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS, HOWEVER, DETERMINISTIC ","MODELS HAVE PROGRESSIVELY SHOWN A WEAKER PEAK INTENSITY OVER RECENT ","RUNS NEVER FULLY REACHING 35 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ","ARE ESTIMATED AT 27 TO 32 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ","ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A ","SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS DOWNGRADED TO ","LOW. SEE REF A (WTIO21 PGTW 091000) FOR FURTHER DETAILS."," (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS."," C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE."," B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:"," (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 93S) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR ","11.0S 71.7E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12.0S 76.1E, APPROXIMATELY 353 NM ","SOUTHEAST OF DIEGO GARCIA. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE ","IMAGERY DEPICTS AN ELONGATED AND BROAD CIRCULATION EMBEDDED WITHIN A ","TROUGH SLOWLY CONSOLIDATING. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS REVEALS FAVORABLE ","CONDITIONS FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (10-15KTS), ","WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (28-29 C), AND GOOD POLEWARD OUTFLOW. ","GLOBAL DETERMINISTIC MODELS ARE IN AGREEMENT ON STEADY DEVELOPMENT ","WITH GFS BEING THE MOST AGGRESSIVE SHOWING THE SYSTEM REACHING UP TO ","35 KTS WITHIN AS EARLY AS 48 HOURS. ENSEMBLE GUIDANCE BETWEEN ECMWF ","AND GFS ARE ALSO IN GOOD AGREEMENT ON STEADY INTENSIFICATION AS 93S ","TRANSITS SOUTHEAST. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT ","13 TO 18 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR ","1009 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL ","CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS LOW."," (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS."," C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.","3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: DOWNGRADED AREA IN PARA 1.B.(1) TO ","LOW.//"]}