"ABIO10 PGTW 151330\r\nMSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//\r\nSUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN \r\nREISSUED/151330Z-151800ZAUG2024//\r\nRMKS/\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:\r\n      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 90S) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR \r\n4.0S 74.5E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 5.2S 73.9E, APPROXIMATELY 159 NM NORTH-\r\nNORTHEAST OF DIEGO GARCIA. ENHANCED INFRARED SAETLLITE IMAGERY AND A \r\n150101Z SSMIS 91GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE DEPICT A VERY BROAD AREA OF DENSE, \r\nPERSISTENT CONVECTION IN THE NORTHWESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE INVEST AREA. \r\nA CONSOLIDATE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION (LLC) IS BEGINNING TO FORM WITH \r\nFRAGMENTED BANDING BEGINNING TO ORGANIZE. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS REVEALS \r\nTHAT INVEST 90S IS IN A MARIGNALLY FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENTAL FOR \r\nDEVELOPMENT WITH WARM (28-30C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES AND STRONG \r\nPOLEWARD OUTFLOW OFFSET BY HIGH (25-30KT) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MODEL \r\nGUIDANCE IS IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT INVEST 90S WILL CONTINUE TO GRADUALLY \r\nINTENSIFY AND TRACK WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD OVER THE NEXT 24-48 HOURS. \r\nMAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 28 TO 33 KNOTS. MINIMUM \r\nSEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR \r\nTHE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 \r\nHOURS IS UPGRADED TO MEDIUM.\r\n      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS."