"ABIO10 PGTW 161800\r\nMSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//\r\nSUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/161800Z-\r\n171800ZAUG2024//\r\nRMKS/\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:\r\n      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 90S) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR \r\n43.0S 74.5E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 6.2S 73.4E, APPROXIMATELY 54 NM \r\nNORTHEAST OF DIEGO GARCIA. ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND \r\n161329Z SSMIS 91GHZ SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS AN AREA OF FLARING \r\nCONVECTION, WITH A PARTIALLY EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION WITH \r\nPERSISTENT CONVECTION. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS REVEALS AN AREA THAT IS \r\nMARGINAL FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH, WARM (28-29C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES, \r\nHIGH (30-40 KTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, AND WEAK EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW \r\nALOFT. GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN AGREEMENT THAT INVEST 90S WILL CONTINUE TO \r\nGRADUALLY INTENSIFY AND GENERALLY TRACK SOUTHWESTWARD OVER THE NEXT 24-\r\n48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 28 TO 33 \r\nKNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1001 MB. THE \r\nPOTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN \r\nTHE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS HIGH.\r\n      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS."