"ABIO10 PGTW 171800\r\nMSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//\r\nSUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/171800Z-\r\n181800ZAUG2024//\r\nRMKS/\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:\r\n      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 90S) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR \r\n4.3S 74.5E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 6.3S 70.2E, APPROXIMATELY 151 NM WEST-\r\nNORTHWEST OF DIEGO GARCIA. ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND \r\n161329Z SSMIS 91GHZ SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS AN AREA OF FLARING \r\nCONVECTION, WITH A PARTIALLY EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION WITH \r\nPERSISTENT CONVECTION. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS REVEALS AN AREA THAT IS \r\nMARGINAL FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH, WARM (28-29C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES, \r\nHIGH (30-40 KTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, AND WEAK EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW \r\nALOFT. GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN AGREEMENT THAT INVEST 90S WILL CONTINUE TO \r\nGRADUALLY INTENSIFY AND GENERALLY TRACK SOUTHWESTWARD OVER THE NEXT 24-\r\n48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 22 TO 28 \r\nKNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1004 MB. \r\nTHE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE \r\nWITHIN \r\nTHE NEXT 24 HOURS IS DOWNGRADED TO LOW.\r\n      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS."