"ABIO10 PGTW 310030\r\nMSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//\r\nSUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN \r\nREISSUED/310030ZDEC2025-311800ZJAN2026//\r\nREF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/301351ZDEC2025//\r\nREF/B/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/301952ZDEC2025//\r\nNARR/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. REF B IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE \r\nFINAL WARNING.//\r\nRMKS/\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:\r\n      (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 90S) HAS PERSISTED NEAR 8.3S \r\n102.7E, APPROXIMATELY 218 NM SOUTHEAST OF CHRISTMAS ISLAND. ANIMATED \r\nENHANCED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY (MSI) DEPICTS WIDESPREAD \r\nFLARING CONVECTION OBSCURING AN ELONGATED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER \r\n(LLCC). A 301506Z ASCAT REVEALED AN AREA OF SHARP TROUGHING WITH 20-25 \r\nKNOT WINDS ON EITHER SIDE OF THE TROUGH AXIS. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS \r\nFOR  THE AREA INDICATES A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT WITH WARM SEA SURFACE \r\nTEMPERATURES (29-30 C), LOW TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (15-20 \r\nKTS), AND GOOD POLEWARD OUTFLOW ALOFT. GLOBAL DETERMINISTIC AND \r\nENSEMBLE MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT 90S WILL CONTINUE TO \r\nCONSOLIDATE AND TRACK SOUTHEASTWARD OVER THE NEXT 24-48 HOURS.  \r\nMAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 23 TO 28 KNOTS. \r\nMINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006 MB. THE \r\nPOTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN \r\nTHE NEXT 24 HOURS IS MEDIUM.\r\n      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ADDED MEDIUM AREA IN PARA. 2.B.(1).//"