"ABIO10 PGTW 311330\r\nMSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//\r\nSUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN \r\nREISSUED/311330ZDEC2025-311800ZDEC2025//\r\nREF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/310151ZDEC2025//\r\nREF/B/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/301951ZDEC2025//\r\nREF/C/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/311321ZDEC2025//\r\nNARR/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. REF B IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE \r\nFINAL WARNING. REF C IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.//\r\nRMKS/\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:\r\n      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 90S) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR \r\n8.3S 102.7E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10.0S 105.4E, APPROXIMATELY 32 NM \r\nNORTH OF CHRISTMAS ISLAND. ANIMATED ENHANCED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE \r\nIMAGERY (MSI) DEPICTS WIDESPREAD DEEP CONVECTION OBSCURING A \r\nCONSOLIDATING LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). A 310854Z 37 GHZ \r\nGMI IMAGE EMPHASIZES THE CLOUD BANDING ALONG THE SOUTHERN AND WESTERN \r\nFLANK OF THE SYSTEM. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS FOR THE AREA INDICATES A \r\nFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT WITH WARM (29 C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES, LOW \r\nTO MODERATE (15-20 KTS) NORTHERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, AND GOOD \r\nPOLEWARD AND EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW CHANNELS TO SUPPORT FURTHER \r\nINTENSIFICATION. GLOBAL DETERMINISTIC AND ENSEMBLE MODELS ARE IN GOOD \r\nAGREEMENT ON A SOUTHEASTWARD TRACK WITH STEADY DEVELOPMENT OVER THE \r\nNEXT 24-36 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 23 \r\nTO 28 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 998 \r\nMB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL \r\nCYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO HIGH. SEE REF C \r\n(WTXS21 311330) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.\r\n      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED AREA IN PARA. 2.B.(1) TO \r\nHIGH.//"