"ABPW10 PGTW 310600\r\nMSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//\r\nSUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH \r\nPACIFIC OCEANS/310600ZOCT2024-010600ZNOV2024//\r\nREF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/310151ZOCT2024//\r\nAMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.//\r\nRMKS/\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:\r\n      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 90W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR \r\n5.6N 157.5E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 4.0N 155.0E, APPROXIMATELY 832 NM \r\nSOUTHEAST OF GUAM. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY (MSI) DEPICTS \r\nA VERY BROAD AREA OF WEAK CYCLONIC TURNING WITH POORLY-ORGANIZED \r\nCONVECTION. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS INDICATES MARGINALLY FAVORABLE \r\nCONDITIONS FOR DEVELOPMENT, INCLUDING LOW TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR \r\nOF 15-20 KTS, WEAK UPPER-LEVEL EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW, AND WARM SEA SURFACE \r\nTEMPERATURES OF 30-31 DEGREES C. GLOBAL MODELS INDICATE THE SYSTEM IS \r\nEXPECTED TO TRACK GENERALLY NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. GFS \r\nCONTINUES TO AGGRESSIVELY DEVELOP THIS DISTURBANCE WITHIN THE NEXT 24-48 \r\nHOURS WHILE ECMWF DOES NOT SIGNIFICANTLY DEVELOP THE SYSTEM. MAXIMUM \r\nSUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 13 TO 18 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA \r\nLEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE \r\nDEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS \r\nREMAINS MEDIUM.\r\n      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//"