"ABPW10 PGTW 031400\r\nMSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//\r\nSUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH \r\nPACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/031400Z-040600ZNOV2025//\r\nREF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/030751ZNOV2025//\r\nAMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.//\r\nRMKS/\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:\r\n      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 90W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR \r\n8.5N 147.0E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 9.0N 145.5E, APPROXIMATELY 268 NM \r\nSOUTH OF GUAM. MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY (MSI) DEPICTS A \r\nCONSOLIDATING LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION WITH SCATTERED BURSTS OF \r\nCONVECTION WITHIN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT. 031127Z AND 031042Z \r\nASCAT PASSES SHOW A BROAD AND ELONGATED CIRCULATION WITH A SWATH OF \r\n25 KT WINDS WITHIN THE EASTERN PERIPHERY. WINDS TO BOTH THE NORTH AND \r\nWEST ARE MUCH WEAKER THOUGH (10-15 KTS) AND DO NOT CREATE A DEFINED \r\nLOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) YET. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS \r\nDEPICTS A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH MODERATE \r\nEQUATORWARD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW, LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OF 10-15 \r\nKTS, AND WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (SST) OF 29-30 C. GLOBAL \r\nMODELS AGREE ON THE STEADY CONSOLIDATION OF THE SYSTEM OVER THE NEXT \r\n24 HOURS AS WELL AS A GENERAL NORTHWESTWARD TRACK. GFS, NAVGEM, AND \r\nGEFS ARE MORE AGGRESSIVE IN THE DEVELOPMENT OF THE SYSTEM COMPARED TO \r\nECMWF AND ECENS, WHICH DEPICT A SLOWER CONSOLIDATION. MAXIMUM \r\nSUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 23 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA \r\nLEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE \r\nDEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 \r\nHOURS IS UPGRADED TO MEDIUM.\r\n      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED AREA IN PARA 1.B.(1) TO \r\nMEDIUM//"