"ABPW10 PGTW 031930\r\nMSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//\r\nSUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH \r\nPACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/031930Z-040600ZNOV2025//\r\nREF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/031351ZNOV2025//\r\nREF/B/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/031921ZNOV2025//\r\nNARR/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AND REF B IS A TROPICAL \r\nCYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.//\r\nRMKS/\r\n B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:\r\n (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 90W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR \r\n9.0N 145.5E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 9.2N 145.0E, APPROXIMATELY 250 NM \r\nSOUTH OF GUAM. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A \r\n031652Z AMSR2 89GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE DEPICTS A CONSOLIDATING LOW-LEVEL \r\nCIRCULATION WITH DISPLACED CELLS OF CONVECTION ALONG THE EASTERN \r\nQUADRANT. A 031127Z ASCAT PASS DEPICTS A BROAD AND ELONGATED \r\nCIRCULATION WITH A SWATH OF 20KT WINDS CURVING ALONG THE EASTERN EDGE \r\nOF THE TROUGH. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS INDICATES A FAVORABLE \r\nENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH MODERATE EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW, LOW \r\nVERTICAL WIND SHEAR (05-10 KTS), AND WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES \r\n(29-30 C). GLOBAL DETERMINISTIC MODELS ARE IN AGREEMENT THAT THE AREA \r\nWILL STEADILY CONSOLIDATE OVER NEXT 24 HOURS, AS WELL AS TRACK TO THE \r\nNORTHWEST. THE EURO MODEL IS SLIGHTLY DELAYED ON THE DEVELOPMENT \r\nTIMELINE WITH CONSOLIDATION TAKING PLACE IN 36 HOURS. MAXIMUM \r\nSUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 23 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA \r\nLEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE \r\nDEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS \r\nIS HIGH. SEE REF A (WTPN21 PGTW 031930) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.\r\n (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.\r\n C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED AREA IN PARA 1.B.(1) TO HIGH.//"