"ABPW10 PGTW 031930\r\nMSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//\r\nSUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH \r\nPACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/031930Z-040600ZNOV2025//\r\nREF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/031351ZNOV2025//\r\nREF/B/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/031921ZNOV2025//\r\nNARR/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AND REF B IS A TROPICAL \r\nCYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.//\r\nRMKS/\r\n B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:\r\n (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 90W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR \r\n9.0N 145.5E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 9.2N 145.0E, APPROXIMATELY 250 NM \r\nSOUTH OF GUAM. ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AS WELL AS A \r\n031652Z AMSR2 89GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE DEPICTS A CONSOLIDATING LOW-LEVEL \r\nCIRCULATION WITH DISPLACED CELLS OF CONVECTION EASTERN QUADRANT. A \r\n031127Z ASCAT PASS DEPICT A BROAD AND ELONGATED CIRCULATION WITH A \r\nSWATH OF 25 KT WINDS WITHIN THE EASTERN PERIPHERY THAT PRESENTS ITSELF \r\nMORE AS STRAIGHT-LINE FLOW. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS INDICATES A \r\nFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH MODERATE EQUATORWARD \r\nOUTFLOW, LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OF 05-10 KTS, AND WARM SEA SURFACE \r\nTEMPERATURES (29-30 C). GLOBAL DETERMINISTIC MODELS ARE IN AGREEMENT \r\nON THE STEADY CONSOLIDATION OF THE AREA OF CONVECTION OVER NEXT 24 \r\nHOURS AS WELL AS A NORTHWESTWARD TRACK. THE EURO MODEL IS SLIGHTLY \r\nDELAYED ON THE DEVELOPMENT TIMELINE WITH CONSOLIDATION TAKING PLACE IN \r\n36 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 23 \r\nKNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1005 MB. THE \r\nPOTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN \r\nTHE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO HIGH. SEE REF A (WTPN21 PGTW 031930) \r\nFOR FURTHER DETAILS.\r\n (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.\r\n C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED AREA IN PARA 1.B.(1) TO HIGH.//"