"ABPW10 PGTW 040600\r\nMSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//\r\nSUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH \r\nPACIFIC OCEANS/040600Z-050600ZNOV2025//\r\nREF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/040151ZNOV2025//\r\nREF/B/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/031921ZNOV2025//\r\nNARR/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. REF B IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE \r\nFORMATION ALERT.//\r\nRMKS/\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:\r\n      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 90W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR \r\n9.2N 145.0E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 9.6N 143.8E, APPROXIMATELY 229 NM SOUTH-\r\nSOUTHWEST OF GUAM. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A \r\n031652Z AMSR2 89GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE DEPICTS A CONSOLIDATING LOW-LEVEL \r\nCIRCULATION WITH DISPLACED CELLS OF CONVECTION ALONG THE EASTERN \r\nQUADRANT. A 031127Z ASCAT PASS DEPICTS A BROAD AND ELONGATED CIRCULATION \r\nWITH A SWATH OF 20KT WINDS CURVING ALONG THE EASTERN EDGE OF THE TROUGH. \r\nENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS INDICATES A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT \r\nWITH MODERATE EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW, LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (05-10 KTS), \r\nAND WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (29-30 C). GLOBAL DETERMINISTIC MODELS \r\nARE IN AGREEMENT THAT THE AREA WILL STEADILY CONSOLIDATE OVER NEXT 24 \r\nHOURS, AS WELL AS TRACK TO THE NORTHWEST. THE EURO MODEL IS SLIGHTLY \r\nDELAYED ON THE DEVELOPMENT TIMELINE WITH CONSOLIDATION TAKING PLACE IN \r\n36 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 23 \r\nKNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 999 MB. THE \r\nPOTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN \r\nTHE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS HIGH. SEE REF B (WTPN21 PGTW 031930) FOR \r\nFURTHER DETAILS.\r\n      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//"