"ABIO10 PGTW 271800\r\nMSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//\r\nSUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/271800Z-\r\n281800ZAUG2024//\r\nRMKS/\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:\r\n      (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 91A) HAS PERSISTED NEAR 24.3N \r\n70.5E, APPROXIMATELY 189 NM EAST OF KARACHI, PAKISTAN. ENHANCED INFRARED \r\nIMAGERY AND A 271328Z SSMIS F-17 91GHZ SATELLITE IMAGE DEPICTS A BROAD \r\nBUT WELL-DEFINED CIRCULATION WITH DEEP CONVECTION IN THE SOUTHWEST \r\nQUADRANT. SCATTEROMETERY DATA SHOWS OFFSHORE FLOW OF WESTERLY WINDS \r\nPEAKING AT 25 KNOTS. 91A IS IN A MARGINALLY FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR \r\nDEVELOPMENT WITH GOOD EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW, BUT ITS LOCATION IS CURRENTLY \r\nOVER LAND, HINDERING DEVELOPMENT. MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT 91A \r\nWILL TRACK WESTWARD OVER THE ARABIAN SEA DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS, WHERE \r\nWARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (28-29C) AND MODERATE VWS (15-20KTS) WOULD \r\nREPRESENT AN OVERALL FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM \r\nSUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 28 TO 33 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA \r\nLEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 993 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE \r\nDEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS \r\nUPGRADED TO LOW.\r\n      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE."