"ABIO10 PGTW 290300\r\nMSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//\r\nSUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN \r\nREISSUED/290300Z-291800ZAUG2024//\r\nREF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/290251ZAUG2024//\r\nAMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.//\r\nRMKS/\r\n B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:\r\n (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 91A) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR \r\n24.3N 70.5E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 23.9N 69.1E, APPROXIMATELY 126 NM EAST-\r\nSOUTHEAST OF KARACHI. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICT \r\nFORMATIVE BANDING WITH EMBEDDED CONVECTION OVER THE NORTHWESTERN COAST \r\nOF INDIA. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS REVEALS FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR \r\nDEVELOPMENT, INCLUDING HIGH (20-25KTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, STRONG \r\nUPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW EQUATORWARD, WARM (28-29C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURE, \r\nAND MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 992 MB. GLOBAL \r\nDETERMINISTIC MODELS INDICATE THAT 91A WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP WITH A \r\nWESTWARD TRACK OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS \r\nARE ESTIMATED AT 28 TO 33 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE \r\nESTIMATED AT 28 TO 33 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO \r\nBE NEAR 998 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 28 TO \r\n33 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 994 MB. THE \r\nPOTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN \r\nTHE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO HIGH.\r\n (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.\r\n B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE."