"ABIO10 PGTW 291800\r\nMSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//\r\nSUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/291800Z-\r\n301800ZAUG2024//\r\nREF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/291751ZAUG2024//\r\nAMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT CORRECTION//\r\nRMKS/\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:\r\n      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 91A) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR \r\n24.3N 70.5E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 24.2N 69.0E, APPROXIMATELY 114 NM EAST-\r\nSOUTHEAST OF KARACHI. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY \r\nDEPICT A CONSOLIDATING LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH DEEP \r\nCONVECTION BUILDING OVER THE CENTER. A 291301Z SSMIS 91 GHZ MICROWAVE \r\nIMAGE REVEALS CURVED CONVECTIVE BANDING ALONG THE WESTERN SEMICIRCLE. \r\nGLOBAL MODELS INDICATE THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO TRACK WESTWARD AND \r\nSTRENGTHEN, EMERGING OVER THE NORTHERN ARABIAN SEA WHERE IT WILL FIND \r\nFAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR DEVELOPMENT, INCLUDING MODERATE (15-20KTS) \r\nVERTICAL WIND SHEAR, STRONG UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW EQUATORWARD AND WARM \r\n(28-29C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE \r\nESTIMATED AT 28 TO 33 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO \r\nBE NEAR 992 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT \r\nTROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS HIGH. SEE REF A \r\n(WTIO21 PGTW 290300 COR) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.\r\n      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE."