"ABPW10 PGTW 020600\r\nMSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//\r\nSUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH \r\nPACIFIC OCEANS/020600Z-030600ZFEB2025//\r\nREF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/020551ZFEB2025//\r\nAMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.//\r\nRMKS/\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:\r\n      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 91P) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR \r\n18.5S 164.3E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 19.0S 164.2E, APPROXIMATELY 238 NM \r\nNORTH-NORTHWEST OF NOUMEA, NEW CALEDONIA. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL \r\nSATELLITE IMAGERY (MSI) DEPICTS AN EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER \r\n(LLCC), JUST NORTH OF NEW CALEDONIA, WITH WIDESPREAD CONVECTION TO THE \r\nNORTH AND SOUTHEAST. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS REVEALS A MARGINAL \r\nENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH HIGH VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OF 30-40 \r\nKNOTS, STRONG POLEWARD AND EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW, AND WARM SEA SURFACE \r\nTEMPERATURES (SST) OF 28-29 C. GLOBAL DETERMINISTIC MODELS INDICATE \r\nWEAK DEVELOPMENT OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS, WITH AN EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD \r\nTRACK AND A SMALL WINDOW OF POTENTIAL TC INTENSITY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED \r\nSURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 23 TO 28 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL \r\nPRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1001 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE \r\nDEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS \r\nIS UPGRADED TO HIGH. SEE REF A (WTPS21 PGTW 020600) FOR FURTHER \r\nDETAILS.\r\n      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//"