"ABIO10 PGTW 061800\r\nMSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//\r\nSUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/061800Z-\r\n071800ZDEC2024//\r\nRMKS/\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:\r\n      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 91S) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR \r\n9.0S 105.4E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 8.6S 102.7E, APPROXIMATELY 208 NM WEST-\r\nNORTHWEST OF CHRISTMAS ISLAND. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED (EIR) \r\nSATELLITE IMAGERY AND A PARTIAL 061243Z GMI 89GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE DEPICT \r\nA POORLY-ORGANIZED LLC WITH FLARING, PERSISTENT CONVECTION EMBEDDED \r\nWITHIN A MONSOON TROUGH. A 061454Z ASCAT METOP-B BULLSEYE INDICATES 15-\r\n20 KT WINDS ALONG THE SOUTHERN SIDE OF THE TROUGH, WITH LIGHT WINDS TO \r\nTHE NORTHWEST AND SOUTHEAST. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS INDICATES A \r\nFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT WITH LOW TO MODERATE \r\nVERTICAL WIND SHEAR OF 15-20 KTS, GOOD UPPER-LEVEL DIVERGENCE AND WARM \r\nSEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES OF 29-30C. GLOBAL DETERMINISTIC MODELS ARE IN \r\nFAIR AGREEMENT THAT INVEST 91S WILL CONTINUE TO SLOWLY CONSOLIDATE IN \r\nTHE INDIAN OCEAN OVER THE NEXT 24-48 HRS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE \r\nWINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 23 TO 28 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS \r\nESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1002 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A \r\nSIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMIANS LOW.\r\n      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//"