"ABIO10 PGTW 061930\r\nMSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//\r\nSUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN\r\nREISSUED/061930Z-071800ZDEC2024//\r\nRMKS/\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:\r\n\t(1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 91S) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED \r\nNEAR 9.0S 105.4E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 8.6S 102.7E, APPROXIMATELY 208 NM \r\nWEST-NORTHWEST OF CHRISTMAS ISLAND. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED (EIR) \r\nSATELLITE IMAGERY AND A PARTIAL 061243Z GMI 89GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE \r\nDEPICT A POORLY-ORGANIZED LLC WITH FLARING, PERSISTENT CONVECTION \r\nEMBEDDED WITHIN A MONSOON TROUGH. A 061454Z ASCAT METOP-B BULLSEYE \r\nINDICATES 15-20 KT WINDS ALONG THE SOUTHERN SIDE OF THE TROUGH, WITH \r\nLIGHT WINDS TO THE NORTHWEST AND SOUTHEAST. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS \r\nINDICATES A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT WITH LOW TO \r\nMODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OF 15-20 KTS, GOOD UPPER-LEVEL DIVERGENCE \r\nAND WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES OF 29-30C. GLOBAL DETERMINISTIC \r\nMODELS ARE IN FAIR AGREEMENT THAT INVEST 91S WILL CONTINUE TO SLOWLY \r\nCONSOLIDATE IN THE INDIAN OCEAN OVER THE NEXT 24-48 HRS. MAXIMUM \r\nSUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 23 TO 28 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA \r\nLEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1002 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE \r\nDEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS \r\nREMAINS LOW.\r\n\t(2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 92S) HAS PERSISTED NEAR \r\n10.8S 79.2E, APPROXIMATELY 450 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF DIEGO GARCIA. \r\nANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED (EIR) SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A PARTIALLY \r\nEXPOSED LLCC, WHILE THE 061418Z GMI 89GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGERY ALSO \r\nREVEALS PERSISTENT CONVECTION TO THE SOUTHWEST. A 061554Z ASCAT-C \r\nMETOP-C 50KM PASS REVEALS 20-25 KT SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS TO THE SOUTH OF \r\nTHE SEMI-CIRCLE. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS INDICATES A MARGINAL \r\nENVIRONMENT FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT WITH WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES \r\nOF 29-30C OFFSET BY HIGH VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OF 25-30 KTS AND MODERATE \r\nUPPER-LEVEL POLEWARD OUTFLOW. GLOBAL DETERMINISTIC MODELS ARE IN FAIR \r\nAGREEMENT THAT INVEST 92S WILL CONTINUE TO SLOWLY CONSOLIDATE IN THE \r\nINDIAN OCEAN OVER THE NEXT 24-48 HRS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS \r\nARE ESTIMATED AT 23 TO 28 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS \r\nESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A \r\nSIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS LOW.\r\n\t(3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ADDED LOW AREA IN PARA. 2.B.(2).//"