"ABPW10 PGTW 120600\r\nMSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//\r\nSUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH \r\nPACIFIC OCEANS/120600Z-130600ZOCT2024//\r\nRMKS/\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:\r\n      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 91W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR \r\n14.3N 130.6E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 14.7N 129.2E, APPROXIMATELY 72 NM EAST-\r\nNORTHEAST OF LEGAZPI, PHILIPPINES. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE \r\nIMAGERY DEPICTS A SLOWLY ORGANIZING LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER, WITH \r\nFLARING CONVECTION TO THE NORTH, WHICH HAS PERSISTED OVER THE LAST 12 \r\nHOURS. A 120114 ASCAT METOP-B IMAGE DEPICTS 15 KT WINDS TO THE NORTH, \r\nUNDERNEATH THE AFOREMENTIONED CONVECTION, AND WEAKER (LESS THAN 10 KTS) \r\nWINDS TO THE SOUTH. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS INDICATES MARGINALLY FAVORABLE \r\nCONDITIONS WITH LOW TO MODERATE VERTICAL WINDSHEAR (15-20KTS), WEAK \r\nEQUATORWARD OUTFLOW ALOFT AND WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (30C). \r\nCURRENT DETERMINISTIC AND ENSEMBLE MODEL GUIDANCE INDICATES LITTLE TO NO \r\nDEVELOPMENT FOR 91W OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE \r\nWINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS \r\nESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A \r\nSIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS LOW.\r\n      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE."