"ABIO10 PGTW 251900\r\nMSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//\r\nSUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN \r\nOCEAN/REISSUED/251900Z-261800ZOCT2025//\r\nREF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/250751ZOCT2025//\r\nAMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.//\r\nRMKS/\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:\r\n      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 92A) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR \r\n17.1N 71.5E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 15.7N 66.8E, APPROXIMATELY 397 NM \r\nWEST-SOUTHWEST OF MUMBAI, INDIA. ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY \r\n(EIR) DEPICTS A BROAD CIRCULATION WITH FLARING CONVECTION ASSOCIATED \r\nWITH THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS \r\nREVEALS FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH LOW VERTICAL WIND \r\nSHEAR (5-10 KTS), MODERATE WESTWARD AND EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW, AND WARM \r\nSEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (28-29 C). GLOBAL DETERMINISTIC MODELS DEPICT \r\nA BROAD CIRCULATION WITH MINIMAL DEVELOPMENT. ENSEMBLE MODELS SHOW \r\nLESS OF A SIGNAL OF DEVELOPMENT THAN THE PREVIOUS RUNS BUT STILL \r\nDEPICTS EVENTUAL GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS \r\nARE ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 23 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS \r\nESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A \r\nSIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS LOW.\r\n      (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 94B) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR \r\n10.7N 89.0E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12.0N 88.0E, APPROXIMATELY 459 NM EAST \r\nOF CHENNAI, INDIA. ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY (EIR) DEPICTS A \r\nBETTER DEFINED AND CONSOLIDATED LLCC EMBEDDED WITHIN A TROUGH THAT \r\nEXTENDS FROM THE COAST OF SOUTHEASTERN INDIA TO THE ANDAMAN ISLAND \r\nCHAIN. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS REVEALS A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR \r\nDEVELOPMENT WITH MODERATE WESTWARD AND EQUATORWARD UPPER LEVEL \r\nOUTFLOW, LOW (10-15 KTS) EASTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, AND WARM SEA \r\nSURFACE TEMPERATURES (29-30 C). GLOBAL DETERMINISTIC AND ENSEMBLE \r\nMODELS SHOW 94B CONSOLIDATING OVER THE NEXT 24-48 HOURS WHILE TRACKING \r\nGENERALLY NORTHWESTWARD. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED \r\nAT 23 TO 28 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR \r\n996 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL \r\nCYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO MEDIUM.\r\n      (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:\r\n      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 95S) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR \r\n7.5S 76.1E HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT \r\nOF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.\r\n      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: DISSIPATED AREA IN PARA. 2.B.(1).//"