"ABIO10 PGTW 260600\r\nMSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//\r\nSUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN \r\nREISSUED/260600Z-261800ZOCT2025//\r\nREF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/260552ZOCT2025//\r\nAMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.//\r\nRMKS/\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:\r\n      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 92A) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR \r\n14.3N 65.7E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 14.4N 66.3E, APPROXIMATELY 467 NM \r\nSOUTHWEST OF MUMBAI. ANIMATED ENHANCED MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY (MSI) \r\nDEPICTS FLARING CONVECTION IN THE WESTERN PERIPHERY ALONG A POORLY \r\nORGANIZED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS \r\nFOR THE AREA INDICATES FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH \r\nMODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (15-20 KTS), WARM SEA SURFACE \r\nTEMPERATURES (28-29 C), AND GOOD EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW ALOFT. GLOBAL \r\nDETERMINISTIC AND ENSEMBLE MODELS ARE IN AGREEMENT THAT 92A WILL \r\nCONTINUE NORTH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 18 TO \r\n23 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 998 MB. \r\nTHE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE \r\nWITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS LOW.\r\n      (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 94B) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR \r\n10.5N 87.5E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11.2N 87.5E, APPROXIMATELY 439 NM \r\nEAST-SOUTHEAST OF CHENNAI. ANIMATED ENHANCED MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY \r\n(MSI) DEPICTS CURVED DEEP CONVECTIVE BANDING ON THE NORTH WESTERN \r\nPERIPHERY, WITH DEEP CONVECTION BUILDING OVER THE LOW LEVEL \r\nCIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS FOR THE AREA \r\nINDICATES FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH MODERATE VERTICAL \r\nWIND SHEAR (15-20 KTS), WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (29-30 C), AND \r\nGOOD EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW ALOFT. GLOBAL DETERMINISTIC AND ENSEMBLE \r\nMODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT 94B WILL CONTINUE NORTH AND GFS AND \r\nGEFS SHOW FASTER INTENSIFICATION OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM \r\nSUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 28 TO 32 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA \r\nLEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 996 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE \r\nDEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS \r\nIS UPGRADED TO HIGH. SEE REF A (WTIO21 PGTW 260600) FOR FURTHER \r\nDETAILS.\r\n      (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED AREA IN PARA. 1.B.(2) TO \r\nHIGH AND REMOVED TROPICAL CYCLONE 04S (CHENGE) INFORMATION DUE TO \r\nFINAL WARNING EXPIRATION.//"