"ABIO10 PGTW 252100\r\nMSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//\r\nSUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN \r\nREISSUED/252100Z-261800ZOCT2025//\r\nREF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/251951ZOCT2025//\r\nAMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FINAL WARNING.//\r\nRMKS/\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:\r\n      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 92A) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR \r\n15.7N 66.8E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 14.3N 65.7E, APPROXIMATELY 498 NM \r\nSOUTHWEST OF MUMBAI, INDIA. ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY \r\n(EIR) DEPICTS A BROAD CIRCULATION WITH FLARING CONVECTION ASSOCIATED \r\nWITH THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS \r\nREVEALS FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH LOW VERTICAL WIND \r\nSHEAR (5-10 KTS), MODERATE WESTWARD AND EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW, AND WARM \r\nSEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (28-29 C). GLOBAL DETERMINISTIC MODELS DEPICT \r\nA BROAD CIRCULATION WITH MINIMAL DEVELOPMENT. ENSEMBLE MODELS SHOW \r\nLESS OF A SIGNAL OF DEVELOPMENT THAN THE PREVIOUS RUNS BUT STILL \r\nDEPICTS EVENTUAL GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS \r\nARE ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 23 KNOTS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE \r\nESTIMATED AT 18 TO 23 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED \r\nTO BE NEAR 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT \r\nTROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS LOW.\r\n      (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 94B) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR \r\n12.0N 88.0E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10.5N 87.5E, APPROXIMATELY 452 NM \r\nEAST-SOUTHEAST OF CHENNAI, INDIA. ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY \r\n(EIR) DEPICTS A BETTER DEFINED AND CONSOLIDATED LLCC EMBEDDED WITHIN A \r\nTROUGH THAT EXTENDS FROM THE COAST OF SOUTHEASTERN INDIA TO THE \r\nANDAMAN ISLAND CHAIN. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS REVEALS A FAVORABLE \r\nENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH MODERATE WESTWARD AND EQUATORWARD \r\nUPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW, LOW (10-15 KTS) EASTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, AND \r\nWARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (29-30 C). GLOBAL DETERMINISTIC AND \r\nENSEMBLE MODELS SHOW 94B CONSOLIDATING OVER THE NEXT 24-48 HOURS WHILE \r\nTRACKING GENERALLY NORTHWESTWARD. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE \r\nESTIMATED AT 28 TO 32 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED \r\nTO BE NEAR 996 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT \r\nTROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS MEDIUM.\r\n      (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPDATED AREA IN PARA. 2.A.(1) WITH 04S \r\nFINAL WARNING INFORMATION.//"