"ABIO10 PGTW 261500\r\nMSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//\r\nSUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN \r\nREISSUED/261500Z-261800ZOCT2025//\r\nREF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/261351ZOCT2025//\r\nAMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.//\r\nRMKS/\r\n B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:\r\n (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 92A) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR \r\n14.3N 65.7E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 14.4N 66.3E, APPROXIMATELY 467 NM \r\nSOUTHWEST OF MUMBAII. ANIMATED ENHANCED MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY (MSI) \r\nDEPICTS FLARING CONVECTION IN THE WESTERN PERIPHERY ALONG A POORLY \r\nORGANIZED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS \r\nFOR THE AREA INDICATES FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH \r\nMODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (15-20 KTS), WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES \r\n(28-29 C), AND GOOD EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW ALOFT. GLOBAL DETERMINISTIC AND \r\nENSEMBLE MODELS ARE IN AGREEMENT THAT 92A WILL CONTINUE NORTH. MAXIMUM \r\nSUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 23 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA \r\nLEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 998 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE \r\nDEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS \r\nREMAINS LOW.\r\n (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 94B) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR \r\n11.2N 87.5E IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE PARA. \r\n1.A.(1) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.\r\n (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.\r\n C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED AREA IN PARA 1.B.(2) TO WARNING \r\nSTATUS.//"