"ABIO10 PGTW 261800\r\nMSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//\r\nSUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/261800Z-\r\n271800ZOCT2025//\r\nREF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/261351ZOCT2025//\r\nAMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.//\r\nRMKS/\r\n B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:\r\n (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 92A) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR \r\n14.4N 66.3E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 15.3N 66.8E, APPROXIMATELY 409 NM WEST-\r\nSOUTHWEST OF MUMBAI, INDIA. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED IMAGERY (EIR) \r\nDEPICTS FLARING CONVECTION ALONG THE WESTERN PERIPHERY DISLOCATED FROM A \r\nPOORLY ORGANIZED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). ENVIRONMENTAL \r\nANALYSIS FOR THE AREA INDICATES FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR DEVELOPMENT \r\nWITH MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (15-20 KTS), WARM SEA SURFACE \r\nTEMPERATURES (28-29 C), AND GOOD RADIAL OUTFLOW. GLOBAL DETERMINISTIC \r\nAND ENSEMBLE MODELS ARE IN AGREEMENT THAT 92A WILL CONTINUE ON A \r\nNORTHWARD TRACK. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 18 TO \r\n23 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 998 MB. THE \r\nPOTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN \r\nTHE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS LOW.\r\n (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.\r\n C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//"