"ABIO10 PGTW 271800\r\nMSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//\r\nSUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN \r\nOCEAN/271800Z-281800ZOCT2025//\r\nREF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/271351ZOCT2025//\r\nAMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.//\r\nRMKS/\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:\r\n      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 92A) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR \r\n16.3N 67.4E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 16.5N 67.5E, APPROXIMATELY 335 NM \r\nWEST-SOUTHWEST OF MUMBAI. ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY (EIR) \r\nDEPICTS 92A AS A BROAD AREA OF POORLY DEFINED ROTATION WITH CONVECTION \r\nSHEARED TO THE SOUTHWEST. A PARTIAL ASCAT-B 271623Z PASS REVEALS AN \r\nASYMMETRICAL WIND FIELD OF 10-15 KNOT WINDS NEAR THE CIRCULATION \r\nCENTER WITH 20-25 KNOTS DISPLACED TO THE EAST AND SOUTHEAST. \r\nENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS REVEALS MARGINALLY FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR \r\nDEVELOPMENT WITH LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (10-15 KNOTS) AND WARM SEA \r\nSURFACE TEMPERATURES (28-29 C), OFFSET BY WEAK DIVERGENCE ALOFT. \r\nGLOBAL DETERMINISTIC AND ENSEMBLE MODELS ARE IN AGREEMENT THAT INVEST \r\n92A HAS POTENTIAL FOR SLOW, STEADY DEVELOPMENT WHILE TRACKING \r\nNORTHWARD TO NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE NEXT 24-48 HOURS.  MAXIMUM \r\nSUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 23 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA \r\nLEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 999 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE \r\nDEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS \r\nREMAINS LOW.\r\n      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//"