"ABIO10 PGTW 281800\r\nMSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//\r\nSUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN \r\nOCEAN/281800Z-291800ZOCT2025//\r\nREF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/281351ZOCT2025//\r\nAMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.//\r\nRMKS/\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:\r\n      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 92A) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR \r\n17.4N 69.0E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 17.7N 68.8E, APPROXIMATELY 242 NM \r\nWEST-SOUTHWEST OF MUMBAI. ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY (EIR) \r\nAND A MICROWAVE METOP-B 281611Z PASS DEPICTS A BROAD, POORLY DEFINED \r\nCIRCULATION WITH VERY LIMITED CONVECTION WITHIN THE LOW-LEVEL \r\nCIRCULATION CENTER. A PARTIAL ASCAT-B 281556Z PASS REVEALS A WIND \r\nFIELD OF 10-15 KNOT WINDS WITH 15-20 KNOTS DISPLACED TO THE NORTHWEST. \r\nENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS REVEALS FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR DEVELOPMENT \r\nWITH MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (15-20 KNOTS), GOOD POLEWARD OUTFLOW \r\nALOFT, AND WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (28-29 C). GLOBAL AND \r\nENSEMBLE MODELS ARE IN FAIR AGREEMENT THAT 92A WILL TRACK GENERALLY \r\nNORTHWARD BUT REMAIN BROAD OVER NEXT 24-48 HOURS.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED \r\nSURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 22 TO 28 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL \r\nPRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 999 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE \r\nDEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS \r\nREMAINS LOW.\r\n      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//"