"ABIO10 PGTW 301800\r\nMSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//\r\nSUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/301800Z-\r\n311800ZOCT2025//\r\nRMKS/\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:\r\n      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 92A) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR \r\n17.1N 67.8E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 18.3N 68.5E, APPROXIMATELY 253 NM WEST \r\nOF MUMBAI, INDIA. ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY (EIR) DEPICTS AN \r\nELONGATED, POORLY DEFINED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER WITH FLARING \r\nCONVECTION. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS REVEALS MODERATELY FAVORABLE \r\nCONDITIONS FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH MODERATE TO HIGH SOUTHWESTERLY VERTICAL \r\nWIND SHEAR (20-25 KTS), GOOD POLEWARD OUTFLOW, AND WARM SEA SURFACE \r\nTEMPERATURES (28-29 C). ENSEMBLE MODELS SHOWS AN INCREASED NUMBER OF \r\nMEMBERS REACHING 30-40 KTS FOR THE NEXT 24-48 HOURS BETWEEN GEFS AND \r\nECENS BUT STARTS TO SIGNIFICANTLY DECREASE AFTER 48 HOURS. DETERMINISTIC \r\nMODELS ALSO SHOW A SIMILAR TREND WITH INCREASED WINDS TO THE SOUTHEAST \r\nBUT NO FURTHER DEVELOPMENT, AND SHOWS MINIMAL DEVELOPMENT AFTER 24 \r\nHOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 23 TO 28 KNOTS. \r\nMINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 999 MB. THE POTENTIAL \r\nFOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 \r\nHOURS REMAINS LOW.\r\n      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//"