{"ObservationDate":"2025-10-24T10:00:00","Latitude":11.6,"Longitude":71.0,"Windspeed":20.5,"Pressure":1004.0,"Identifier":"INVEST 92A","PotentialStatus":"LOW","OriginalBulletin":["ABIO10 PGTW 241000","MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//","SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ","REISSUED/241000Z-241800ZOCT2025//","REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/240751ZOCT2025//","AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.//","RMKS/","   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:","      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 92A) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR ","10.7N 70.1E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11.6N 71.0EE, APPROXIMATELY 324 NM ","WEST-NORTHWEST OF COCHIN. ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY (EIR) ","DEPICTS A BROAD DISORGANIZED CIRCULATION WITH FLARING CONVECTION ","ASSOCIATED WITH THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). ","ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS REVEALS MARGINAL CONDITIONS FOR DEVELOPMENT ","WITH MODERATE TO HIGH VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (20-25 KNOTS), DIFFLUENT ","OUTFLOW, AND WARM SURFACE TEMPERATURES (27-28 C). GLOBAL MODELS ","DEPICT A BROAD CIRCULATION MOVING WITH A NORTHWARD TRACK IN THE ","ARABIAN SEA OVER THE NEXT 24-48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE ","WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 23 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ","ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A ","SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS LOW.","      (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 94B) HAS PERSISTED NEAR 10.8N ","89.5E, APPROXIMATELY 562 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF CHENNAI, INDIA. ","MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A CONSOLIDATING LLCC EMBEDDED ","WITHIN A TROUGH THAT EXTENDS FROM THE COAST OF SOUTHEASTERN INDIA TO ","THE ANDAMAN ISLAND. CONVECTION CONTINUES TO FLARE UP NEAR THE LLCC ","BUT IS BEING SHEARED BY THE PERSISTENT EASTERLY SHEAR. ENVIRONMENTAL ","ANALYSIS REVEALS A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR FORMATION WITH MODERATE ","WESTWARD AND EQUATORWARD UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW, LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ","OF 5-15 KTS, AND WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES OF 28-29 C. GLOBAL ","MODELS SHOW 94B CONSOLIDATING OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS BEFORE TRACKING ","GENERALLY NORTHWESTWARD, THOUGH ECENS DEPICTS IT RAPIDLY INTENSIFYING ","UNLIKE GEFS OR THE DETERMINISTIC MODELS, WHICH SHOW A MUCH SLOWER ","RATE OF INTENSIFICATION AND AN OVERALL WEAKER SYSTEM. MAXIMUM ","SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 23 TO 28 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA ","LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE ","DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 ","HOURS IS LOW.","      (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.","   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.","   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:","      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 95S) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR ","9.5S 85.8E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 9.8S 84.4E, APPROXIMATELY 719 NM EAST-","SOUTHEAST OF DIEGO GARCIA. ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY (EIR) ","DEPICTS A BROAD AREA OF LINEAR, CYCLING CONVECTION. ENVIRONMENTAL ","ANALYSIS REVEALS MARGINAL CONDITIONS FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH MODERATE ","VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (15-20 KNOTS), POLEWARD OUTFLOW ALOFT, AND WARM ","SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (28-29C). GLOBAL MODELS HAVE BACKED OFF IN ","THE DEVELOPMENT OF INVEST 95S, WITH PRIMARILY NAVGEM SHOWING A BROAD ","CIRCULATION, THEN FALLING OFF AFTER TAU 48. IT IS SUSPECTED THAT ","MODELS ARE PICKING UP ON THIS SYSTEM DUE TO THE ENVIRONMENTAL SURGE ","FLOW ON THE POLEWARD SIDE, WHICH IS INDUCED BY THE PRESSURE GRADIENT, ","AND GENERAL TROUGHING IN THE REGION. MODELS INDICATE A WEST-","NORTHWESTWARD TRACK NEAR DIEGO GARCIA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE ","WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 22 TO 28 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ","ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A ","SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS DOWNGRADED ","TO LOW.","      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.","   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.","3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ADDED LOW AREA IN PARA. 1.B.(2)//"]}