{"ObservationDate":"2025-10-24T18:00:00","Latitude":17.1,"Longitude":71.5,"Windspeed":25.5,"Pressure":1004.0,"Identifier":"INVEST 92A","PotentialStatus":"LOW","OriginalBulletin":["ABIO10 PGTW 241800","MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//","SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN ","OCEAN/241800Z-251800ZOCT2025//","REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/240751ZOCT2025//","AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.//","RMKS/","   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:","      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 92A) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR ","11.6N 71.0E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 17.1N 71.5E, APPROXIMATELY 136 NM ","SOUTHWEST OF MUMBAI, INDIA. ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY (EIR) ","DEPICTS A BROAD CIRCULATION WITH FLARING CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH ","THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS ","REVEALS MARGINAL CONDITIONS FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH MODERATE TO ","UNFAVORABLE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (20-25 KNOTS), MODERATE POLEWARD AND ","EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW, AND WARM SURFACE TEMPERATURES (28-29 C). GLOBAL ","DETERMINISTIC AND ENSEMBLE MODELS DEPICT A BROAD CIRCULATION WITH ","GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT ","23 TO 28 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR ","1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL ","CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS LOW.","      (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 94B) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR ","10.8N 89.5E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10.7N 89.0E, APPROXIMATELY 532 NM ","EAST-SOUTHEAST OF CHENNAI, INDIA. ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY ","(EIR) DEPICTS A CONSOLIDATING LLCC EMBEDDED WITHIN A TROUGH THAT ","EXTENDS FROM THE COAST OF SOUTHEASTERN INDIA TO THE ANDAMAN ISLAND ","CHAIN. CONVECTION CONTINUES TO FLARE NEAR THE LLCC BUT IS SHEARED BY ","THE PERSISTENT EASTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS ","REVEALS A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH MODERATE WESTWARD ","AND EQUATORWARD UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW, LOW (5-15 KTS ) VERTICAL WIND ","SHEAR, AND WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES OF 28-29 C. GLOBAL ","DETERMINISTIC AND ENSEMBLE MODELS SHOW 94B CONSOLIDATING OVER THE NEXT ","24-48 HOURS BEFORE TRACKING GENERALLY NORTHWESTWARD. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED ","SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 23 TO 28 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL ","PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1003 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE ","DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS ","REMAINS LOW.","      (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.","   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.","   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:","      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 95S) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR ","9.8S 84.4E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 8.7S 79.6E, APPROXIMATELY 431 NM EAST ","OF DIEGO GARCIA. ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY (EIR) DEPICTS A ","BROAD AREA OF TROUGHING WITH FLARING CONVECTION. ENVIRONMENTAL ","ANALYSIS REVEALS MARGINAL CONDITIONS FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH HIGH ","VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (20-25 KNOTS), POLEWARD OUTFLOW ALOFT, AND WARM ","SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (28-29C). GLOBAL MODELS HAVE CONSISTENTLY ","INDICATED A LOWER LIKELIHOOD OF DEVELOPMENT OF INVEST 95S THROUGH THE ","LAST SEVERAL RUNS, INSTEAD REVEALING AN ASYMMETRIC TROUGH WITH ","ENHANCED WINDS ALONG THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY. THE DISTURBANCE IS ","EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ON A WESTWARD TRACK TOWARDS DIEGO GARCIA. MAXIMUM ","SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 22 TO 28 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA ","LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE ","DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS ","REMAINS LOW.","      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.","   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//"]}