{"ObservationDate":"2025-10-25T18:00:00","Latitude":15.7,"Longitude":66.8,"Windspeed":20.5,"Pressure":1004.0,"Identifier":"INVEST 92A","PotentialStatus":"LOW","OriginalBulletin":["ABIO10 PGTW 251800","MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//","SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN ","OCEAN/251800Z-261800ZOCT2025//","REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/250751ZOCT2025//","AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.//","RMKS/","   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:","      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 92A) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR ","17.1N 71.5E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 15.7N 66.8E, APPROXIMATELY 397 NM ","WEST-SOUTHWEST OF MUMBAI, INDIA. ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY ","(EIR) DEPICTS A BROAD CIRCULATION WITH FLARING CONVECTION ASSOCIATED ","WITH THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS ","REVEALS FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH LOW VERTICAL WIND ","SHEAR (5-10 KTS), MODERATE WESTWARD AND EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW, AND WARM ","SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (28-29 C). GLOBAL DETERMINISTIC MODELS DEPICT ","A BROAD CIRCULATION WITH MINIMAL DEVELOPMENT. ENSEMBLE MODELS SHOW ","LESS OF A SIGNAL OF DEVELOPMENT THAN THE PREVIOUS RUNS BUT STILL ","DEPICTS EVENTUAL GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ","ARE ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 23 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ","ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A ","SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS LOW.","      (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 94B) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR ","10.7N 89.0E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12.0N 88.0E, APPROXIMATELY 459 NM EAST ","OF CHENNAI, INDIA. ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY (EIR) DEPICTS A ","BETTER DEFINED AND CONSOLIDATED LLCC EMBEDDED WITHIN A TROUGH THAT ","EXTENDS FROM THE COAST OF SOUTHEASTERN INDIA TO THE ANDAMAN ISLAND ","CHAIN. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS REVEALS A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR ","DEVELOPMENT WITH MODERATE WESTWARD AND EQUATORWARD UPPER LEVEL ","OUTFLOW, LOW (10-15 KTS) EASTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, AND WARM SEA ","SURFACE TEMPERATURES (29-30 C). GLOBAL DETERMINISTIC AND ENSEMBLE ","MODELS SHOW 94B CONSOLIDATING OVER THE NEXT 24-48 HOURS WHILE TRACKING ","GENERALLY NORTHWESTWARD. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED ","AT 23 TO 28 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR ","996 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL ","CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO MEDIUM.","      (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.","   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.","   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:","      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 95S) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR ","8.7S 79.6E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 7.5S 76.1E, APPROXIMATELY 401 NM EAST ","OF DIEGO GARCIA. ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY (EIR) DEPICTS A ","BROAD AREA OF TROUGHING WITH FLARING CONVECTION. ENVIRONMENTAL ","ANALYSIS REVEALS MARGINAL CONDITIONS FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH HIGH ","VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (20-25 KNOTS), POLEWARD OUTFLOW ALOFT, AND WARM ","SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (28-29C). GLOBAL DETERMINISTIC MODELS HAVE ","CONSISTENTLY INDICATED A LOWER LIKELIHOOD OF DEVELOPMENT OF INVEST 95S ","THROUGH THE LAST SEVERAL RUNS, INSTEAD REVEALING AN ASYMMETRIC TROUGH ","WITH ENHANCED WINDS ALONG THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY. ENSEMBLE MODELS HAVE ","ALMOST COMPLETELY DROPPED THE SYSTEM WITH THE EXCEPTION OF 3 MEMBERS ","REACHING 35KTS ON ECENS AND A SINGLE MEMBER ON GEFS FOR ABOUT 6 HOURS. ","THE DISTURBANCE IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ON A WESTWARD TRACK TOWARDS ","DIEGO GARCIA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 23 TO ","28 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1005 MB. ","THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE ","WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS LOW.","      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.","   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//"]}