"ABIO10 PGTW 072000\r\nMSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//\r\nSUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN \r\nREISSUED/072000Z-081800ZSEP2024//\r\nRMKS/\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:\r\n      (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 92B) HAS PERSISTED NEAR 17.5N \r\n85.6E, APPROXIMATELY 131 NM EAST OF VISAKHAPATNAM. ANIMATED ENHANCED \r\nINFRARED (EIR) SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A SMALL, PARTIALLY EXPOSED LOW \r\nLEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC), WITH DEEP CONVECTION TO THE SOUTHWEST \r\nSHEARED OFF TO THE SOUTHWEST. THE LLCC LOOKS TO HAVE BEEN PRESENT FOR AT \r\nLEAST THE LAST 12 HOURS, BUT HAS BEEN SLOWLY CONSOLIDATING JUST OFFSHORE \r\nTHE EAST COAST OF INDIA. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS INDICATES 92B IS IN A \r\nFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH WARM (29-30C) SEA SURFACE \r\nTEMPERATURES, LOW TO MODERATE (15-20 KNOTS) EASTERLY VWS, AND GOOD \r\nWESTWARD AND EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW ALOFT, WITH THE SYSTEM LYING UNDERNEATH \r\nA WEAKENED TROPICAL EASTERLY JET (TEJ). GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN AGREEANCE \r\nTHAT 92B WILL CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY AND TRACK NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD OVER \r\nTHE NEXT 24-48 HOURS, LIKELY MOVING INLAND OVER FAR NORTHEASTERN INDIA \r\nWITHIN THE NEXT 48 HOURS.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED \r\nAT 23 TO 28 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR \r\n997 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL \r\nCYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS MEDIUM.\r\n      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE."