"ABIO10 PGTW 080900\r\nMSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//\r\nSUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN \r\nREISSUED/080900Z-081800ZSEP2024//\r\nREF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/080851ZSEP2024//\r\nAMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.//\r\nRMKS/\r\n B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:\r\n (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 92B) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR \r\n17.5N 85.6E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 17.9N 86.7E, APPROXIMATELY 290 NM \r\nSOUTH-\r\nSOUTHWEST OF KOLKATA. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY (MSI) \r\nDEPICTS A SHALLOW CONSOLIDATING EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER \r\n(LLCC) WITH CURVED LOW-LEVEL CLOUD BANDING. A PARTIAL 080341Z GPM GMI \r\n89GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE DEPICTS DEEP CONVECTION SHEARED TO THE WESTERN \r\nSEMICIRCLE OF THE LLCC. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS REVEALS A MODERATE \r\nENVIRONMENT WITH HIGH VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OF 15-20 KNOTS, MODERATELY \r\nDIFFLUENT EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW AND WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES OF 29-\r\n30 \r\nDEGREES C. THE PRIMARY INHIBITING ENVIRONMENTAL FACTOR IS THE ELEVATED \r\nVERTICAL WIND SHEAR, HOWEVER A SHARP GRADIENT EXISTS AND THE SHEAR \r\nENVIRONMENT IS MORE FAVORABLE AS THE SYSTEM PASSES FARTHER NORTH. \r\nGLOBAL \r\nMODELS INDICATE STEADY DEVELOPMENT OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM \r\nSUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 23 TO 28 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA \r\nLEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1001 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE \r\nDEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS \r\nIS UPGRADED TO HIGH. SEE REF A (ABIO10 PGTW 080900) FOR FURTHER \r\nDETAILS.\r\n (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.\r\n B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE."