{"ObservationDate":"2025-04-09T12:00:00","Latitude":14.4,"Longitude":85.1,"Windspeed":25.7,"Pressure":1008.0,"Identifier":"INVEST 92B","PotentialStatus":"LOW","OriginalBulletin":["ABIO10 PGTW 091200","MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//","SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ","REISSUED/091200Z-091800ZAPR2025//","RMKS/"," B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:"," (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 92B) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR ","12.9N 85.6E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 14.4N 85.1E, APPROXIMATELY 224 NM ","SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF VISAKHAPATNAM. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE ","IMAGERY (EIR) AND A 090720Z AMSR2 89 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE DEPICT A ","WEAKLY-DEFINED LLCC WITH FLARING CONVECTION DISPLACED TO THE EAST. A ","090647Z OSCAT PASS REVEALS A RELATIVELY SYMMETRICAL BUT WEAK ","CIRCULATION WITH THE STRONGEST WINDS ISOLATED TO THE EASTERN ","PERIPHERY. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS FOR THE AREA INDICATES MARGINALLY ","UNFAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH HIGH (25-30 KTS) VERTICAL ","WIND SHEAR OFFSET BY WARM (29-30C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES AND ","MODERATE POLEWARD OUTFLOW ALOFT. GLOBAL DETERMINISTIC MODELS ARE IN ","AGREEMENT THAT THE AREA OF CONVECTION 92B WILL CONTINUE NORTHERLY AS A ","WEAK CIRCULATION WITH LITTLE DEVELOPMENT OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ","HOWEVER, THE ECENS ENSEMBLE MODEL CONTINUES TO SHOW A HANDFUL OF ","MEMBERS THAT INTENSIFY AS THE CIRCULATION APPROACHES THE COAST OF ","MYANMAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 23 TO 28 ","KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. THE ","POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN ","THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS LOW."," (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS."," C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE."," B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:"," (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 96P) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR ","8.7S 134.7E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10S 132.8E, APPROXIMATELY 164 NM ","NORTH-NORTHEAST OF DARWIN. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED (EIR) SATELLITE ","IMAGERY DEPICTS A BROAD AREA OF PERSISTENT CONVECTION DISPLACED TO THE ","SOUTHEAST OF A DISORGANIZED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). A ","090928Z SSMIS F17 91 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE REVEALED WEAK LOW-LEVEL ","BANDING WITHIN THE NORTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE SYSTEM. SURFACE ","OBSERVATIONS AT MCCLUER ISLAND ARE REPORTING AROUND 20 KTS FROM THE ","EAST-SOUTHEAST. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS INDICATES THAT 96P IS IN A ","FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH LOW (5-10 KTS) VERTICAL ","WIND SHEAR, WARM (30-31 C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES, AND GOOD UPPER-","LEVEL OUTFLOW. THE GFS SHOWS A QUICK INTENSIFICATION TREND, ATTAINING ","TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH WITHIN 48 HOURS WHILE THE ECMWF SHOWS A MORE ","GRADUAL TREND. MODEL GUIDANCE AGREES ON A SOUTHWESTWARD TRACK, NEAR ","THE NORTHWESTERN COAST OF AUSTRALIA AS THE SYSTEM DEVELOPS. MAXIMUM ","SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 23 TO 28 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA ","LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE ","DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS ","IS UPGRADED TO MEDIUM."," (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS."," C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.","3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED AREA IN PARA 2.B.(1) TO ","MEDIUM.//"]}