"ABPW10 PGTW 220900\r\nMSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//\r\nSUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH \r\nPACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/220900Z-230600ZFEB2025//\r\nREF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/220751ZFEB2025//\r\nAMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.//\r\nRMKS/\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:\r\n      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 93P) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR \r\n14.9S 149.5W IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE \r\nPARA. 2. A. (1) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.\r\n      (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 94P) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR \r\n13.6S 178.5W IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 13.5S 177.3W, APPROXIMATELY 393 NM \r\nWEST OF PAGO PAGO. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A \r\n220203Z 8GHZ AMSR2 PASS DEPICT A QUICKLY CONSOLIDATING LOW LEVEL \r\nCIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH DEEP FLARING CONVECTION IN THE \r\nSOUTHWESTERN PERIPHERY. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS INDICATES THAT 94P IS IN \r\nA FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT DUE TO WARM (28-29C) \r\nSEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES, LOW (LESS THAN 15 KNOTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, \r\nAND STRONG POLEWARD OUTFLOW ALOFT. GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN AGREEMENT WITH \r\nTHE POTENTIAL RAPID DEVELOPMENT AND GENERAL SOUTHWARD TRACK OVER THE \r\nNEXT 24 HOURS. ENSEMBLES ARE IN AGREEMENT THAT INVEST 94P WILL TRACK IN \r\nA GENERAL SOUTHEASTWARD DIRECTION IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM \r\nSUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 23 TO 28 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA \r\nLEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1000 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE \r\nDEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS \r\nREMAINS MEDIUM.\r\n      (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY:\r\n      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 92P) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR \r\n21.2S 166.6W IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 21.7S 167.2W, APPROXIMATELY 459 NM \r\nEAST OF TONGA. THE SYSTEM IS CURRENTLY CLASSIFIED AS A SUBTROPICAL \r\nCYCLONE, GENERALLY CHARACTERIZED AS HAVING BOTH TROPICAL AND \r\nMIDLATITUDE CYCLONE FEATURES. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY \r\nDEPICTS A BROAD AREA OF ROTATION WITH A PARTIALLY EXPOSED LOW LEVEL \r\nCIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) BEGINNING TO UNDERGO A SUBTROPICAL \r\nTRANSITION. OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS, THE LLCC HAS MOVED AWAY FROM THE \r\nNORTH-SOUTH ORIENTED BAND OF CONVECTION TO THE EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE \r\nLLCC. A 211929Z ASCAT-B SCATTEROMETERY PASS REVEALS 35-40 KNOT WINDS \r\nWRAPPING INTO THE LLCC FROM THE EAST, CONSISTENT WITH AN EARLIER SMAP \r\nPASS SHOWING A SIMILAR WIND FIELD. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS INDICATES \r\nTHAT INVEST 92P IS CURRENTLY IN A MARGINALLY FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT WITH \r\nWARM (27-28C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES, LOW TO MODERATE (15-20KNOT) \r\nVERTICAL WIND SHEAR, AND GOOD OUTFLOW ALOFT. HOWEVER, AS THIS SYSTEM \r\nCONTINUES TO TRACK TO THE SOUTHEAST IT BEGINS TO INTERACT WITH COOLER \r\nSEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES WITHIN THE NEXT 12-24 HOURS, AS WELL AS \r\nENTERING AN AREA OF INCREASED WIND SHEAR IN EXCESS OF 30-40 KNOTS AND \r\nSTRONG WESTERLIES ALOFT. GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT 92P \r\nWILL CONTINUE TO TRACK SOUTHEASTWARD AS A SUBTROPICAL LOW.  JTWC WILL \r\nCONTINUE TO CLOSELY MONITOR INVEST 92P FOR SIGNS OF TROPICAL \r\nTRANSITION. FOR HAZARDS AND WARNINGS, REFERENCE THE FLEET WEATHER \r\nCENTER SAN DIEGO HIGH WINDS AND SEAS PRODUCT OR REFER TO LOCAL WMO \r\nDESIGNATED FORECAST AUTHORITY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE \r\nESTIMATED AT 33 TO 38 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO \r\nBE NEAR 1000 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT \r\nTROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS LOW.\r\n      (2) NO OTHER SUBTROPICAL SYSTEMS.\r\n3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED AREA IN PARA 2.B. (1) TO\r\nWARNING STATUS.//"