"ABPW10 PGTW 030600\r\nMSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//\r\nSUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH \r\nPACIFIC OCEANS/030600Z-040600ZMAR2026//\r\nRMKS/\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:\r\n      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 92P) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR \r\n16.2S 136.7E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 16.0S 136.6E, APPROXIMATELY 155 NM \r\nWEST-NORTHWEST OF MORNINGTON ISLAND. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE \r\nIMAGERY DEPICTS A POORLY DEFINED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER WITH \r\nSCATTERED BURSTS CONVECTION. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS REVEALS A \r\nMARGINALLY FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH FAIR \r\nEQUATORWARD UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW, LOW TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR \r\n(15-20 KTS), WARM (30-31 C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES, AND TERRAIN \r\nINTERACTION. DETERMINISTIC MODELS ARE HESITANT ON THE FORMATION OF \r\n92P, SHOWING THE CIRCULATION TRACKING WESTWARD AND STAYING OVER LAND \r\nOVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED \r\nAT 13 TO 18 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR \r\n999 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL \r\nCYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS LOW.\r\n      (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 91P) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR \r\n14.9S 151.9E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 14.7S 152.0E, APPROXIMATELY 152 NM \r\nNORTHEAST OF WILLIS ISLAND. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY \r\nDEPICTS A CONSOLIDATING LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER WITH CONVECTIVE \r\nBANDING BEGINNING TO WRAP ALONG THE NORTHERN AND SOUTHERN \r\nSEMICIRCLES. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS REVEALS A MARGINALLY FAVORABLE \r\nENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH MODERATE EQUATORWARD UPPER-LEVEL \r\nOUTFLOW, LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (10-15 KTS), AND WARM SEA SURFACE \r\nTEMPERATURES (29-30 C). GLOBAL MODELS SHOW 91P TRACKING WESTWARD \r\nTOWARDS THE COAST OF AUSTRALIA OVER THE NEXT 24-48 HOURS AS IT \r\nCONTINUES TO DEVELOP. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED \r\nAT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR \r\n999 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL \r\nCYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS MEDIUM.\r\n      (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//"