"ABIO10 PGTW 221800\r\nMSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//\r\nSUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/221800Z-\r\n231800ZMAR2025//\r\nRMKS/\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:\r\n      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 92S) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR \r\n13.5S 115.5E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 13.0S 115.3E, APPROXIMATELY 556 NM \r\nNORTH OF LEARMONTH, AUSTRALIA. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE \r\nIMAGERY (EIR) DEPICTS BROADLY TURNING CIRCULATION AND SLOWLY \r\nCONSOLIDATING BANDING WITH FLARING CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY. A 221418Z METOP-\r\nC ASCAT IMAGE DEPICTS A BROAD WIND FIELD ADJACENT TO SURGE FLOW \r\nASSOCIATED WITH A WESTERLY WIND BURST TO THE NORTH AND A POORLY DEFINED \r\nLOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS REVEALS A \r\nFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (VWS) \r\nOF 10-15 KNOTS, MODERATE OUTFLOW, AND WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES \r\n(SST) OF 30-31 C. DETERMINISTIC AND ENSEMBLE MODELS INDICATE SLOW \r\nDEVELOPMENT IN A COMPETITIVE STEERING ENVIRONMENT WITH A GRADUAL TURN \r\nTOWARDS THE SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OVER THE NEXT 24-48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED \r\nSURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 23 TO 28 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL \r\nPRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1003 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE \r\nDEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS \r\nIS LOW.\r\n      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//"